smokie treats wrote:I think that the cycle test results, although circumstantial and inconclusive regarding the pivots, do add to what we know about the 340 and work with other test results. I see three possible explanations for the pivots, not necessarily in this order:
1. The pivots are a naturally occurring result of the cipher, except that we can't figure out how to make a cipher with improbable period 29 / 39 bigram repeats in count, improbable period 15 / 19 repeats in count and symbol count, and pivots. And two pivots are highly improbable in any cipher that we can think of.
2. Zodiac was unaware of the period 15 / 19 and 29 / 39 repeats he was creating, which seems likely. None of the cryptography books describing transposition also discuss advanced period detection. But then he got extremely lucky when intentionally writing the pivots to either play some kind of game or give us a hint as to what he did, and he wrote the pivots at the same exact period as the period 29 / 39 spike. There would still be a period 29 spike without the pivots.
3. Zodiac, although the cryptography books didn't discuss advanced transposition period detection, somehow had an advanced knowledge of them and realized that he was creating period 29 / 39 bigram repeats. And he wrote the pivots as a clue to what he did.
Which of the above scenarios seem more likely?
Of course, recent cycle testing shows dark rows where the pivots are. Of course it does.
Jarlve, thanks for posting your work in this thread!
As you say, either the pivots are intentional or they are a naturally occurring result of the cipher. Between the two, many theories can be formed as to why and how and until we have solved the cipher it seems to be a thing of personal preference.
There are cases where extraordinary coincidence delayed research for years. Such as the painting in The Old Lady Killer case: "Then an odd coincidence distracted the investigation: at least three of Barraza's victims owned a print of an eighteenth-century painting by the French artist Jean-Baptiste Greuze, Boy in Red Waistcoat.". From:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Juana_BarrazaI don't want to diminish the pivots that way but sometimes when you can't get around something, it may be better to leave it aside for a while. I find our intelligence analogous to a hill-climber, we can get stuck in local maxima.